Source: Lt. Col. J.C. Brader
Before our time in the Marine Corps, some of the equipment issued to Marines, specifically helmet covers, shelter halfs (1/2 of what some call a pup tent) and ponchos had green camouflage on one side and brown on the other. Rolling the shelter half to fit onto the haversack pack, folding the poncho, and fitting the helmet cover took some time. For the sake of uniformity, every Marine would have his equipment arranged in the same manner, with the two-colored camouflage items folded so only one color showed. This was especially important when it came to Marines in formation. However, on occasion, one unit might have had the “Brown Side Out”, while another unit had the “Green Side Out.” This resulted on one unit having to unpack, unroll, unfold, reroll and refold their gear. An affectionate saying for this was “Green Side Out, Brown Side Out, Run in Circles, Scream and Shout. While Marines don’t have two-sided different color camouflage any longer, and the “Green Side Out, Brown Side Out” reference is lost among modern Marines, similar situations can and do occur… we describe these as “cluster*ucks,” which means about the same thing as “SNAFU.”
Same type of scenario can be used to describe the hype being spread by the mainstream media, the Democrats, etc. about the Coronavirus/COVID 19… It’s a “cluster*uck”…
The President spoke to the nation as of late last week… the major themes were “it’s not too bad (yet), actions taken early (restricting travel from infected parts of China early worked, continue to go about your daily lives, sneeze into a tissue you then through away, or into your sleeve at the elbow if you don’t have a tissue, and wash your hands. There is more to this story about the outbreak and spread of Corona Virus/COVID 19 that will unfold over time. But most experts say don’t get alarmist and ring the pandemic bell, just yet.
Remember Ebola, SARS, H1N1, H3N2, MERS, ZIKA, etc.? Coronavirus or COVID 19 is just the latest disease outbreak to pose a global, potentially pandemic threat… it is not and will not be the last.
We’re currently about three months into the emergence of coronavirus in Wuhan, Hubei Provence in Central China. Hubei Provence has a population of about sixty million, with some eleven million living in the city of Wuhan. As of today, there have been some 84,000 people infected worldwide, the majority (79,000) of whom are in China. Taking China as an example, Hubei in particular, some 7K have been infected out of a population of 60M… that’s a whopping 0.76%. Statistically, depending on the strain, between 5% and 20% of Americans contract influenza in a given year.
The CDC estimates that influenza has resulted in between 9 million — 45 million illnesses, between 140,000 – 810,000 hospitalizations and between 12,000 – 81,000 deaths annually since 2010. An estimated 80,000 Americans died of flu and its complications the winter of 2018 — the disease’s highest death toll in at least four decades. The mortality rate for SARS was 11%.
Right now, you are more likely to die of influenza, the common flu, than coronavirus. Thus far, coronavirus is presenting itself as a generally “mild” virus; its fatality rate of about 2.3% is considered “low,” and those most at risk of dying from it are likely already compromised with preexisting health conditions, immunity issues, at risk to severe respiratory infection, elderly, or otherwise unwell.
In general, relatively few cases are seen among children, though they can potentially be hosts and spread the virus.
|80+ years old||14.8%|
|70-79 years old||8.0%|
|60-69 years old||3.6%|
|50-59 years old||1.3%|
|40-49 years old||0.4%|
|30-39 years old||0.2%|
|20-29 years old||0.2%|
|10-19 years old||0.2%|
|0-9 years old||no fatalities|
|*Death Rate = (number of deaths / number of cases) = probability of dying if infected by the virus (%).|
Politically, it doesn’t matter what Trump’s response to the coronavirus is. Democrats, their elite pals, #NeverTrumpers, and the mainstream media want an economy-crushing issue to wield against him. They’ve been searching far and wide for something to drag the economy down (the only possible way to beat Trump based on the “casts of clowns’ vying for the Democratic nomination) and since “Russia,” “Ukraine,” and “Impeachment” didn’t work, now they’re selling a special brand of malarkey describing President Trump’s COVID-19 response as too little, too late, doomed to fail, etc. Lo and behold, the mainstream media is selling it as hard as the Democrats and #NeverTrumpers. When all else has failed, the Democrats are trying to make this the ‘coronavirus election.’ Hopefully that scenario will explode in their faces as time and the outbreak progress. President Trump’s acting White House chief of staff and OMB director Mick Mulvaney said recently: “Is it real? It absolutely is real — there’s no question about it. But you saw the president the other day… This is not Ebola. It’s not SARS…” Fatality is “someplace between 1 and 2 percent fatal… Is that serious? It absolutely is — there’s no question about it, OK? But it’s not a death sentence.”
Mulvaney scolded the press and the left for how they have portrayed the situation. “We took extraordinary steps four or five weeks ago. Why didn’t you hear about it? What was still going on four or five weeks ago? Impeachment, and that’s all the press wanted to talk about… The reason you’re seeing so much attention [paid] to it today is that they think this is going to be what brings down the president. That’s what this is all about.” Mulvaney said he got a note from a reporter recently asking, “What are you going to do today to calm the markets?” Mulvaney replied, “…really what I’d like to do today to calm the markets is tell people turn the television off.”
What can Americans do to assist in the effort to slow or stop the spread of coronavirus (COVID19)?
- WASH YOUR HANDS! Studies have discovered that only about 70% of people who go to the toilet wash their hands afterward; and of those that do, only 50% do it right. “The other 30% don’t [wash their hands at all].” Researchers argue that if more people were to wash their hands frequently and correctly, it would significantly slow down the rate at which diseases are likely to spread. A recent study indicated that at most, 1 in 5 people in an airport have cleaned [their] hands at any given moment in time (i.e., 20% of airport population) If 60% rather than 20% of air travelers maintained clean hands, it could slow down the spread of infections by almost 70%, according to the researchers. Wash your hands often with soap and water for at least 20 seconds, especially after going to the bathroom; before eating; and after blowing your nose, coughing, or sneezing.
- Avoid close contact with people who are sick.
- Avoid touching your eyes, nose, and mouth.
- Stay home when you are sick.
- Cover your cough or sneeze with a tissue, then throw the tissue in the trash.
- Clean and disinfect frequently touched objects and surfaces using a regular household cleaning spray or wipe.
- Follow CDCs recommendations for using a facemask.
- CDC does not recommend that people who are well wear a facemask to protect themselves from respiratory diseases, including COVID-19.
- Facemasks should be used by people who show symptoms of COVID-19 to help prevent the spread of the disease to others. The use of facemasks is also crucial for health workers and people who are taking care of someone in close settings (at home or in a health care facility).
- If soap and water for hand washing are not readily available, use an alcohol-based hand sanitizer with at least 60% alcohol. Always wash hands with soap and water if hands are visibly dirty.
That’s good enough advice for us. Turn off mainstream media television, take a deep breath, listen to what government experts like the President’s Coronavirus Task Force or the Centers for Disease Control (CDC) have to say. There isn’t any reason to start panic purchasing anything, stay calm and wash your hands (a lot).
Lt Col J.C. “Séamas” Brader had 20 years+ of active duty in the USMC, most of the time serving as Intelligence Officer. He has deployed many times, including in Iraq. His caauthor, who wishes to remain anonymous, also had lengthy and distinguished Marine career.